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Is it time to register a protest vote?

5/16/2019

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The next NL government will undoubtedly be either Liberal or Conservative. Due to the premature scheduling of the election, there are only 14 NDP, nine NL Alliance and nine Independent candidates. There’s no potential there to wrestle power from the two-party duopoly that has ruled our province for decades. That’s bad because reform from within will probably be tepid at best.

On the other hand, a minority government in which leadership would genuinely have to consider other points of view could bring about meaningful change. For that to happen, enough Liberal or Conservative habitual voters would have to jump ship with a protest vote for an alternative candidate. Since 17 of the 40 constituencies offer only one alternative to the Liberals and Conservatives, that protest vote might mean swallowing hard and voting for a candidate not in line with one’s political values. That’s the nature of strategic voting.

You might argue that a protest vote is unfair to those MHAs that have served their constituency well. That’s true. But the reality, sadly, is that voting according to the merits of individual candidates will do nothing to change the power dynamics in this province. That’s because, contrary to the way democracy is supposed to work, individual MHAs are allowed very little impact on actual decision making within our two dominant parties. Their role increasingly seems to be that of obedient cheerleaders to bills, budgets and policies developed behind closed doors elsewhere.

Disobedience is punished.  Independent MHA Paul Lane found that out when he was booted out of the Liberal Party for protesting that dreadful first Liberal government budget proposal – the one that called for the closure of rural libraries and the imposition of a $300 levy on citizens making $25,000 a year.  Those who call the shots in the party were not inclined to tolerate principled dissent.

But who actually does call the shots in NL politics?   In testimony after testimony at the Muskrat Falls Inquiry we’ve learned that cabinet ministers and premiers had only minimal control and understanding of what was going on under their watch. They simply believed and did what they were told by Nalcor executives and the clique of corporate advisors who advised them in closed door meetings.
I’m not saying that business interests shouldn’t have access to our political parties. I’m saying they have excessive influence and that that is unlikely to change as long as NL politics are dominated by two parties heavily funded by the corporate sector. We desperately need more parties in the House of Assembly. The emergence of NL Alliance is a healthy step.

The challenge right now is to persuade people to vote for the underdogs, whatever their political colour. Unfortunately it’s not that simple. In 16 constituencies voters can only choose between a Liberal and Conservative candidate. There, the protest vote will have to be a destroyed ballot. It may not change the outcome in the constituency but it sends a clear message and it shows a lot more democratic responsibility than staying home.

Therein lies another problem. Forty-five percent of eligible voters did not vote in the last provincial election.   Change isn’t going to happen if only 55% of us vote.

There are key elections in which a big voter turnout is needed. Today's  is one.


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What's wrong with NL's snap election call?

5/6/2019

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Here's what one of our members had to say about the timing of this election and how we can fix the problem in future. 

Calling an election shouldn’t be a snap
Letter to the Telegram:  May 3rd, 2019

The decision by Premier Dwight Ball to call a snap election in May, despite the existence of fixed-date election laws which led us all to believe until recently that an election would be held this fall, raises serious questions about our democratic process.
In this current election, the number of candidates has fallen to a historic low, with many ridings reduced to essentially two-way races.

In our flawed “first-past-the-post” system, this means that a candidate needs 50 per cent to win. When there are many candidates and parties, the percentage needed to win falls significantly. For example, in the recent P.E.I. election, 80 per cent of winning candidates had less than 50 per cent of the vote; six had less that 40 per cent and one had less than 30 per cent.

But here, Ball has managed to arrange an election where most of his candidates would need 50 per cent to win.More importantly, his snap election decision highlights a problem in our democratic process.

The idea of a fixed election date was designed to remove the advantage that snap elections supposedly give the governing party.But clearly, it hasn’t worked that way; the premier still does what he wants. In any case, fixed dates belong to a republican system of government, not a parliamentary one, where the government stands or falls according to the will of the elected legislature.

The problem of the incumbent’s advantage can be easily fixed by simply increasing the notice of an election to three months, or 100 days. I heard this solution several years ago from a retired Supreme Court Justice, who gave great arguments for this change.
To our three leaders; will you commit to removing the fixed-date legislation and replacing it with increasing the notice of election to three months?


Barry Darby
St. John’s

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